Arturas rozenas

Election monitoring has become a key instrument of democracy promotion. Election monitors routinely expect to deter fraud and prevent post-election violence, but in reality post-election violence often increases when monitors do expose fraud. We argue that monitors can make all elections less fraudulent and more peaceful on average, but only by ...

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Mar 20, 2017 · Arturas Rozenas (Contact Author) New York University (NYU) - Wilf Family Department of Politics ( email) 19 West 4 New York, NY 10012 United States. Download This Paper.

M. Ward John S. Ahlquist Arturas Rozenas. Economics. Network Science. 2013; TLDR. This work combines a gravity model specification with "latent space" networks to develop a dynamic mixture model for real-valued directed graphs that substantially outperforms standard accounts in terms of both in- and out-of-sample predictive heuristics.Sep 1, 2013 · Arturas Rozenas Duke University: Durham, NC, US 2009-09-01 to 2010-05-31 | MS in Statistical and Decision Sciences (Statistics)2.2 Interpreting Missing Values. A different approach to ambiguity measurement is offered by Bartels (), who suggests that respondents are more likely not to place a party on a policy scale if they are uncertain about its platform.In Bartels’ model, the source of uncertainty is respondents’ personal characteristics like education or exposure to media.Thanks to Peter Aronow, Fred Boehmke, Jake Bowers, Alex Coppock, Don Green, Erin Hartman, Kosuke Imai, Luke Keele, Gary King, Michael LaCour, Jamie Monogan, James Robins, Arturas Rozenas, Maya Sen, Susumu Shikano, Tyler VanderWeele, and Teppei Yamamoto for helpful suggestions and feedback. Special …Arturas Rozenas. New York University (NYU) - Wilf Family Department of Politics. Date Written: January 18, 2020. Abstract. People from specific ethnic, religious, or ...Arturas Rozenas ; Roya Talibova ; Yuri M. Zhukov ; American Economic Journal: Applied Economics (Forthcoming) Abstract We utilize over 100 million declassified Red Army personnel records from World War II to study how state repression shapes soldiers' motivation to exert effort in fighting. Exploiting multiple complementary identification ...This work combines a gravity model specification with “latent space” networks to develop a dynamic mixture model for real-valued directed graphs that substantially outperforms standard accounts in terms of both in- and out-of-sample predictive heuristics. Abstract The gravity model, long the empirical workhorse for modeling international …Feb 22, 2021 · DOI: 10.1086/718210 Corpus ID: 236749182; The Real Consequences of Symbolic Politics: Breaking the Soviet Past in Ukraine @article{Rozenas2021TheRC, title={The Real Consequences of Symbolic Politics: Breaking the Soviet Past in Ukraine}, author={Arturas Rozenas and Anastasiia Vlasenko}, journal={The Journal of Politics}, year={2021}, volume={84}, pages={1263 - 1277}, url={https://api ...

Autocratic leaders differ considerably in how they consolidate power, but what gives rise to these variations remains under-theorized. This article studies how informal political constraints associated with retired leaders shape intra-elite power dynamics. We argue that ageing leaders' efforts to manage the succession problem create an important yet impermanent check on the power of subsequent ...Thanks to Peter Aronow, Fred Boehmke, Jake Bowers, Alex Coppock, Don Green, Erin Hartman, Kosuke Imai, Luke Keele, Gary King, Michael LaCour, Jamie Monogan, James Robins, Arturas Rozenas, Maya Sen, Susumu Shikano, Tyler VanderWeele, and Teppei Yamamoto for helpful suggestions and feedback. Special thanks to David Nickerson for sharing his data.Read Arturas Rozenas's latest research, browse their coauthor's research, and play around with their algorithms. AI Chat AI Image Generator AI Video Text to Speech Login. View Profile. AI Generators Pricing Glossary Docs. Login Arturas Rozenas. ∙. 0 ...5 Apr 2022 ... Arturas Rozenas est professeur au département de politique de l'université de New York. Il est titulaire d'un doctorat en sciences ...Arturas Rozenas ; Roya Talibova ; Yuri M. Zhukov ; American Economic Journal: Applied Economics (Forthcoming) Abstract We utilize over 100 million declassified Red Army personnel records from World War II to study how state repression shapes soldiers' motivation to exert effort in fighting. Exploiting multiple complementary identification ...Zhaotian Luo, University of Chicago, USA, [email protected] , Arturas Rozenas, New York University, USA, [email protected] Suggested Citation Zhaotian Luo and Arturas Rozenas (2023), "Ruling the Ruling Coalition: Information Control and Authoritarian Power-Sharing", Quarterly Journal of Political Science: Vol. 18: No. 2, pp 183-213 ...

Authors: Arturas Rozenas, Shahryar Minhas, John Ahlquist. Download PDF Abstract: Many relationships requiring mutual agreement between pairs of actors produce observable networks that are symmetric and undirected. Nevertheless the unobserved, asymmetric network is often of primary scientific interest. We propose a method that probabilistically ...Political scientists have long been interested in how indiscriminate violence affects the behavior of its victims, yet most research has focused on short-term military consequences rather than long-term political effects. We argue that large-scale violence can have an intergenerational impact on political preferences. Communities more exposed to indiscriminate violence in the past will—in ...Arturas Rozenas; Registered: Abstract. Election monitoring has become a key instrument of democracy promotion. Election monitors routinely expect to deter fraud and prevent post‐election violence, but in reality, post‐election violence often increases when monitors do expose fraud. We argue that monitors can make all elections less ...Arturas Rozenas1,SebastianSchutte2,andYuriZhukov3 1Department of Politics, New York University, Room 225, 19 W 4th St, New York, NY 10012, [email protected] 2Department of Politics and Public Administration & Zukunftskolleg, University of Konstanz, Room Y219, 78457 Konstanz, Germany, [email protected], Arturas and Zeigler, Sean, From Ballot-Boxes to Barracks: Votes, Institutions, and Post-Election Coups (January 20, 2018). Journal of Peace Research, ...

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Arturas Rozenas; Ideally, elections should peacefully allocate political power and remove bad leaders from o ce. We study how the electoral mechanism performs when the government can rig elections ...We would like to show you a description here but the site won’t allow us.Arturas Rozenas POL-GA 2251.001 Quant III M 2:00 - 3:50 PM 212 PhD, MA by permission James C. Hsiung POL-GA 2900.001 International Law M 4:00 - 5:50 PM 212 MA/PhD Jonathan Nagler & Joshua Tucker POL-GA 3300.001 Advanced Research Seminar on Social Media and PoliticsM 4:00 - 5:50 PM 217 PhDArturas Rozenas, Associate Professor in the Department of Politics at New York University. His research primarily focuses on authoritarian politics: the causes and consequences of state repression, information manipulation through media, propaganda, and elections, and the historical development of political institutions.Arturas Rozenas is Assistant Professor, Department of Politics, New York University, 19 West 4th Street, New York, NY 10012 ([email protected]). We thank Victoria Oleynik and Denis Stukal for research assistance and Benjamin Olken and Ruben Enikolopov for ITM software.Arturas Rozenas Department of Political Science Duke University Date: Approved: Herbert P. Kitschelt, Supervisor Bahar Leventoglu Emerson Niou Karen Remmer David Soskice An abstract of a dissertation submitted in partial ful llment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy in the Department of Political Science

Arturas Rozenas. New York University; Request full-text PDF. ... Drawing on the work of Mebane [4], Myagkov, Ordeshook, and Shaikin [5], Beber and Scacco [6], and Rozenas [7], we propose a unified ...We would like to show you a description here but the site won't allow us.Arturas Rozenas, Stephen Wheatcroft and seminars participants at Georgetown, Higher School of Economics, New Economic School, Northwestern, NYU and University of Warwick. We thank Pavel Bacherikov and Dmitry Kofanov for excellent research assistance. Powered by TCPDF (www.tcpdf.org) 1The effectiveness of biased media varied in a politically consequential way: Its impact was largest on voters with strong pro-Russian priors but was less effective, and to some degree even counter-effective, in persuading those with strong pro-Western priors. Our finding suggests that exposing an already polarized society to a biased media ...Arturas Rozenas. Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review. Overview; Fingerprint; Abstract. Why do governments manipulate elections at varying levels? This paper argues that variation in electoral manipulation can in part be explained by the fundamental trade-off between an incumbent's desire to signal his popularity ...Arturas Rozenas Sebastian Schutte Y. Zhukov. Political Science. The Journal of Politics. 2017; Political scientists have long been interested in how indiscriminate violence affects the behavior of its victims, yet most research has focused on short-term military consequences rather than …Arturas Rozenas. Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review. Overview; Fingerprint; Abstract. Why do governments manipulate elections at varying levels? This paper argues that variation in electoral manipulation can in part be explained by the fundamental trade-off between an incumbent's desire to signal his popularity ...The College Board wants AP World History courses to cover history material from the year 1450 on. HowStuffWorks looks at the pitfalls of the timeline. Advertisement Teaching, as an...Arturas Rozenas Sebastian Schutte Y. Zhukov. Political Science. The Journal of Politics. 2017; Political scientists have long been interested in how indiscriminate violence affects the behavior of its victims, yet most research has focused on short-term military consequences rather than …Arturas Rozenas R package citations based on other packages that import, suggest, enhance or depend on. This is my official homepage for all R packages authored. RPKG Scholar is The Google Scholar of R packages. Search. Verify/Update your account. 12,626. arturas rozenas 2 Packages. 0 Maintains.Abstract. People from specific ethnic, religious, or other externally identifiable groups are often subjected to harsher repression than others. This …Arturas Rozenas Florida State University. Master of Science in Political Science (2018) New York University. Master of Arts in International Relations (2016) Lund University. Master of Science in European Affairs (2013) National University of Kyiv-Mohyla Academy. Bachelor of Arts in Political Science (2011) Research Work Refereed Publications

Rozenas Arturas, Schutte Sebastian, Zhukov Yuri M. 2017. “The Political Legacy of Violence: The Long-term Impact of Stalin’s Repression in Ukraine.” Journal of Politics 79 (4): 1147–61. Crossref. ISI. Google Scholar. Sassoon Joseph. 2012. Saddam Hussein’s Baath Party: Inside an Authoritarian Regime. New York: Cambridge University …

Previous to Arturas's current city of New York, NY, Arturas Rozenas lived in East Lyme CT and Durham NC. Arturas maintains relationships with many people -- family, friends, associates, & neighbors -- including Richard Williams, Shanga Parker, Richard Williams, Shanga Parker,No Need to Watch: How the Effects of Partisan Media Can Spread via Interpersonal Discussions. James N. Druckman, Matthew S. Levendusky, Audrey McLain. , Pages: 99-112. First Published: 08 August 2017.Rozenas, Arturas, Schutte, Sebastian, and Zhukov, Yuri. 2017. " The Political Legacy of Violence: The Long-Term Impact of Stalin's Repression in Ukraine." Journal of Politics 79 (4): 1147 - 1161.CrossRef Google Scholar(with Arturas Rozenas). 2021. “The Real Consequences of Symbolic Politics: Breaking the Soviet Past in Ukraine,” Journal of Politics, forthcoming. Link (with Mark Kayser and Arndt Leininger). 2021. “A Länder-Based Forecast of the 2021 German Bundestag Election,” PS: Political Science & Politics, 1-6. Link; Manuscripts. Vlasenko ...Arturas Rozenas (Associate Professor of Politics, NYU Politics Department). Congyi Zhou (Assistant Professor of Politics, NYU Politics Department). Organizing ...You are cordially invited to our Online Department Seminar "Fighting for Tyranny: How State Repression Shapes Military Performance" by Arturas Rozenas Associate Professor of Politics NYU at...Rozenas, Arturas, and Stukal, Denis. 2017. " How Autocrats Manipulate Economic News: Evidence from Russia's State-Controlled Television." Working Paper, New York University.CrossRef Google ScholarArturas Rozenas W: 2:00 PM - 3:50 PM 19W4 217. Arts & Science. Give to Arts & Science ...Aug 31, 2022 · Arturas Rozenas, a professor of political science at N.Y.U. who said his research “focuses on building theoretical models of authoritarian politics and testing them using natural experiments ...

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"How to Become a Tyrant" Control the Truth (TV Episode 2021) Arturas Rozenas as Self - Professor of Politics, New York University. Menu. Movies. Release Calendar Top 250 Movies Most Popular Movies Browse Movies by Genre Top Box Office Showtimes & Tickets Movie News India Movie Spotlight.We thank Victoria Oleynik and Denis Stukal for research assistance and Benjamin Olken and Ruben Enikolopov for ITM software. For technical assistance, we are grateful to Pham Hai at the International Telecommunication Union; Victor Rutkovsky at vcfm.ru; Oleksandr Glushchenko at protv.ua and mediasat.ua; Oleh Vasylyk at Ukraine's Broadcasting, Radiocommunications, and Television Consortium; and ...Arturas Rozenas, Sean M Zeigler From ballot-boxes to barracks: Votes, institutions, and post-election coups, Journal of Peace Research 56, ...Arturas Rozenas ; Roya Talibova ; Yuri M. Zhukov ; American Economic Journal: Applied Economics (Forthcoming) Abstract We utilize over 100 million declassified Red Army personnel records from World War II to study how state repression shapes soldiers' motivation to exert effort in fighting. Exploiting multiple complementary identification ...Published 2 January 2016. Political Science. Journal of Strategic Studies. ABSTRACT Rather than win hearts and minds, authoritarian counterinsurgency is said to rely heavily on coercion. It has a reputation for effectiveness, if also for its amorality. Still, the research into authoritarian counterinsurgency is surprisingly lacking.Conventional wisdom says that autocrats manipulate news through censorship. But when it comes to economic affairs—a highly sensitive topic for modern autocrats—the government’s ability to censor information effectively is limited, because citizens can benchmark the official news against their incomes, market prices, and other observables. We propose that instead of censoring economic ...Arturas Rozenas. New York University (NYU) - Wilf Family Department of Politics. Denis Stukal. New York University (NYU), Department of Politics, Students. …Arturas Rozenas Associate Professor, NYU Verified email at nyu.edu. Carly Wayne Washington University in St. Louis Verified email at wustl.edu. Follow. Roya Talibova. Assistant Professor, Vanderbilt University. Verified email at umich.edu - Homepage. International Relations Political violence Historical Political Economy Data.Arturas Rozenas · Political Analysis, Volume 25, Issue 1. Causation. Article. Cause or Effect? Turnout in Hispanic Majority-Minority Districts · John A.DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3023254 Corpus ID: 213568805; How Autocrats Manipulate Economic News: Evidence from Russia's State-Controlled Television @article{Rozenas2018HowAM, title={How Autocrats Manipulate Economic News: Evidence from Russia's State-Controlled Television}, author={Arturas Rozenas and Denis K. … ….

FightingforTyranny: StateRepressionandCombatMotivation ArturasRozenas NewYorkUniversity [email protected] RoyaTalibova UniversityofMichigan [email protected] Rozenas, Anastasiia Vlasenko; Published in Journal of Politics 22 February 2021; Political Science; Conflicts over symbolic issues are prominent in public affairs, but do they have wider political consequences, and if so, why? We study the electoral effects of Leninopad (“Lenin’s free fall”), a sudden wave of demolitions of Soviet ...Arturas Rozenas (Associate Professor of Politics, NYU Politics Department). Congyi Zhou (Assistant Professor of Politics, NYU Politics Department). Organizing ...We thank Victoria Oleynik and Denis Stukal for research assistance and Benjamin Olken and Ruben Enikolopov for ITM software. For technical assistance, we are grateful to Pham Hai at the International Telecommunication Union; Victor Rutkovsky at vcfm.ru; Oleksandr Glushchenko at protv.ua and mediasat.ua; Oleh Vasylyk at Ukraine's Broadcasting, Radiocommunications, and Television Consortium; and ...citizens™needs, which makes information gathering less important; in contrast, we see freer elections in crueler regimes.2 An advantage of our explanation is that competitive election to the high o¢ ce may be one of very few, if not the only, means for a nondemocratic regime to disclose its popularity.Arturas Rozenas acknowledges institutional and financial support from the Hoover Institution, Stanford University. Read the full text. About. PDF. Tools. Request permission; Export citation; Add to favorites; Track citation; Share Share. Give access. Share full text access. Share full-text access.Arturas Rozenas ; Roya Talibova ; Yuri M. Zhukov ; American Economic Journal: Applied Economics (Forthcoming) Abstract We utilize over 100 million declassified Red Army personnel records from World War II to study how state repression shapes soldiers' motivation to exert effort in fighting. Exploiting multiple complementary identification ...Comparative Politics of Developing Nations (Graduate, co-taught with Pablo Querubin) Authoritarian Regimes (Undergraduate) Quantitative Methods III (Graduate) Introduction to Comparative...Rozenas, Arturas. 2013. "Office Insecurity and the Informational Foundations of Non-Competitive Elections." Unpublished manuscript, New York University.Google Scholar. Rozenas, Arturas. 2014. "Inferring Fraud from Seemingly Irregular Vote Proportions." Unpublished manuscript, New York University.AU - Rozenas, Arturas. AU - Vlasenko, Anastasiia. N1 - Funding Information: The status of the Soviet symbols was a contentious partisan issue, on which the competing factions disagreed publicly. The Soviet legacy parties who had espoused views sympathetic to Ukraine's Soviet past, like the Communist Party of Ukraine or the Party of Regions ... Arturas rozenas, [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1], [text-1-1]